{"fileID":651424,"siteID":1,"title":"大盘小起小落盘整  BSI周升独占鳌头（2023年BDI第16周评（4/17-21））","linkTitle":"","catalogs":"","subTitle":"","isExclusive":0,"articleWordCount":1907,"leadTitle":"","source":"中国水运报","sourceID":0,"editor":"邹雨轩","modifyTime":"2023-04-25 10:42:36","note":"","author":"","authorID":0,"liability":"","abstract":"","publishTime":"2023-04-25 10:42:32","articleType":0,"keywords":"","countRatio":1,"countClick":82,"countDiscuss":0,"countPraise":0,"countShare":0,"countShareClick":0,"pic3":"","pic2":"","pic1":"http://app.zgsyb.com/data/1/images/2023/0425/16823833169991279_800x452.jpg","bigPic":0,"tag":"","shortTitle":"","content":"<p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>总体状况：</strong></p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">2013年1月2日至本周共2574个交易日,其中BDI大于2000点占378个交易日或14.69%；1000点至2000点区间占1191个交易日或46.27%；小于1000点占1005个交易日或39.04%，合计2196个交易日在2000点（含）以下,占85.31%。BDI从1985年1月4日设立1000点迄今38年,至本周收盘值为1504点，高504点或50.4%，年均增13点或1.3%，较上周增2点或18.2%。总体乍上还下小幅盘整。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>BDI：</strong></p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周BDI三降一平，收盘值为1504点，环比转高69点或4.59%，止降加速12.60%；周增幅3.08%，较上周转高11.31%；年内净增转升至13.37%；周均值1418点，环比续低49点或3.34%，较上周加跌23点或88.46%；同比去年的2201点续低783点或35.57%，去年同周增幅为7.82%，比本周高4.74%。本周BDI四项指标（最高值、收盘值、最低值、平均值）除收盘值外，余皆低于上周。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>BCI：</strong> </p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周BCI三降二升，收盘值为1962点，环比转高112点或6.05%，较上周止跌转涨303点或158.64%，冲销上周的-150.80%；同比BPI续高270点或15.96%，扩差7.26%；周增幅7.00%，较上周转高16.42%；年内净增转升至31.53%。周均值1772点，较上周续低96点或5.14%，加跌67点或231.03%；同比BPI续高103点或6.17%.扩差1.11%；同比去年的1547点续高225点或14.54%，去年同周增幅24.98%，比本周高17.98%。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周海岬型船运价日均获利收盘值16270美元，较上周转高926美元或6.03%，止亏转盈2510美元或158.46%，冲销了上周的-150.85；周均值14879美元，较上周续跌610美元或3.94%，增亏367美元或151.03%；同比巴拿马型船，收盘值续高1045美元或6.86%；周均值续低141美元或0.94%，较上周分别扩差3.63%和缩逆差1.44%。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>BPI：</strong></p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周BPI二降三升，收盘值1692点，环比续低10点或0.59%，较上周减跌139点或93.29%；周增幅-0.55%，较上周转高7.73%；年内净增续跌至16.90%；周均值1669点，较上周转低109点或6.13%，止高加低124点或826.67%；同比去年的3054点续低1385点或45.35%；去年同周增幅为-1.23%，比本周低0.68%。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周巴拿马型船运价日均获利收盘为15225美元，较上周续低92美元0.60%，减亏1252美元或93.15%；周均值15020美元，较上周转跌986美元或6.16%，止盈加亏1126美元或804.29%</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>BSI：</strong></p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">本周BSI全五升，收盘值为1201点，环比转高105点或9.58%，较上周止跌加涨170点或261.54%；周增幅9.26%，较上周转高14.96%；年内净增转升至11.77%，周均值1148，较上周转高35点或3.14%，冲抵上周的-5.20%；同比去年的2615点续低1467点或56.10%。去年同周增幅7.06%，比本周低2.20%。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>涨跌势：</strong></p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">1、本周BDI、BCI连续第五周均无5+连升（降）成波涨（跌）势。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">2、本周BPI延续上周形成5连降第六波跌势（4/12-18）,累增-11.77%（本周占-3.44%），与上一波跌势时隔8个交易日。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">3、本周BSI出现5连升第四波涨势（4/17-21）,累增9.26%，与上一波涨势时隔15个交易日。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\"><strong>走势看点：</strong> </p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">1、本周BDI架构各指数年内净增率如下：</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">BDI转升至13.37%，BCI转升至31.53%，BPI续跌至16.90%，BSI转升至11.77%；去年同期依次为：9.99%、15.01%、20.14%和17.84%。年内净增显示BCI带同BDI继续超越去年同期，预示今年铁矿石市场尚有转机。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">2、本周BDI架构收盘集体骤升，在小起小落的盘整中寻求出路，反映了全球供应链干散货供求关系的调整律动。从目前市场行情来看，铁矿石大宗货物已超越去年，但仍在历史低位区徘徊：煤炭、谷物及杂货类散货市况大不如前，去年同期BPI高达3000点以上，BSI也突破2500点，均属于历史中位区较好行情，实为今年目前所望尘莫及。</p><p style=\"text-indent: 2em; text-align: justify;\">3、从运价日均获利与运价指数的周增幅对比来看，海岬型船为6.99%对7.00%，落差为0.01%，与上周持平；巴拿马型船为-0.56%对-0.55%，落差为0.01，较上周扩差0.01%。大中船隔周有所回升，小船蓦然反弹，整体走势出现小起小落盘整态势。</p>","extField":{"catalogName":"","att":[],"copyInfo":["选用自：记者稿库-陆民敏[36471]"],"images":0,"videos":0,"articleExt":[]},"isHide":0,"columnID":3009,"columnName":"热闻","columnStyle":0,"discussClosed":0,"countClickInit":0,"fullColumn":"热闻","articleUrl":"","specialId":0,"linkID":0,"articleExt":[],"ipCity":"","att":[],"shareIcon":"","images":[],"videos":0,"videoExif":{},"htmlAbstract":"","relArticle":[]}